3J Senior Project Manager Scott Fregonese was selected to present a technical session at the 2022 Oregon Chapter American Public Works Association (APWA) Spring Conference. Here are some key takeaways from his presentation: “Scenario Planning – Technology to Plan for Your Community’s Future”.
Scenario Planning can be traced back to the early 1800s, first used by the Prussian Military. There is record of corporations adopting Scenario Planning in the mid-1970s when Royal Dutch Shell tested scenarios relating to the OPEC oil embargo. Today’s military still use Scenario Planning. Locally, Metro used Scenario Planning to develop the 2040 Growth Concept Map.
Before Scenario Planning was embraced by planners, there was just one path forward. Scenario Planning helps work through multiple plausible possibilities for the future, enabling users to be better prepared and choose the most beneficial outcome.
Planners use Scenario Planning to:
3J provided project management and community engagement services to help the City of Redmond update their comprehensive plan. Scenario Planning with Envision Tomorrow was used to help solicit input for the community. Activities included:
Scenario Planning software, Envision Tomorrow, offers a suite of urban and regional planning tools. It offers real-time scenario building and evaluation to design and test scenarios with over 80 key indicators. Key indicators include land use, housing, employment, fiscal health, sustainability, public health, transportation, and parks & recreation.
Oregon Governor Kate Brown issued executive order 20-04, directing state agencies to reduce climate pollution. In response, the land conservation and development commission (commission) is working on updating Oregon’s transportation planning rules and related administrative rules. The rulemaking will focus on strengthening Oregon’s administrative rules about transportation and housing planning, particularly for Oregon’s eight urban areas with populations over 50,000 people (Albany, Bend, Corvallis, Eugene/Springfield, Grants Pass, Medford/Ashland, Portland Metro, Salem/Keizer).